Thursday, September 05, 2013

crossresults stuff

Kind of have had the good fortune that Colin's web site was here to document my return to cyclocross...  Sure my first race was back in '97 which seems like not that long ago or compared to some of the old cranky masters to be like i'm still wet behind the ears in this sport.

and 125 races (minus a few mechanical DNFs or unreported races or something) since '06 when i got back to racing after the relocation to the east coast, they are all there.

I can go over and see a nice very slow progression in points.

But I can also see that I start the year slower and now recall that, oh boy, kiss these nice crossresults points goodbye until i get fast if i get fast this year.

The new Course performance feature is pretty cool.  Looks like a tweak or two since their debut because I've improved a bit more in the wet and the hard conditions.  And consistently suck at Green Mountain, the one with most hills.  So yeah.  Hill not good for me. SHOCKING.

But gimme some water? Oh yeah.  Love me some wet slop.  Probably due in part to trailer hauling torque and riding the white blue as a commuter with a rear wheel assembly (all but the QR) weighing 2.42kg

Course Performances
HEY DO YOU LIKE MATH? I HOPE YOU LIKE MATH. 

So what we do is, we take all your results. Ever. Then we use some nonlinear regression to create a best-fit curve for your career's trajectory, based on the points scored in each race. 

The we look at each race result and see where it fell relative to that curve. This tells us if you had a "good" or a "bad" race relative to your normal performance. 

Then, we look to see how much the various course conditions (Technical, Hilly, Accelerate-y, Wet) correlate to you having good or bad results. Technically we do this by computing the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient between the two datasets. 

Lastly, we multiply the correlation coefficient ("R") by 20 so that we aren't showing you some boring number that is mostly decimals. 

In the vast hierarchy of things that are made up around here, this might be the most made-up thing. But it's still interesting.
yeah... straight from the kind code monkey, or one of his minions.

This all brought on by the coming Quad Cross and thoughts of what race to enter.  1/2/3? or maybe the 40+ and Singlespeed... only single speed...  the Singlespeed option only is a nice one but the double race is a better kick in the fitness nuts to start the season off with, however a full 60 minutes (or until i get pulled) racing the 1/2/3 is probably the best of both, in that it will be faster up front and more motivating (fear) to go batshitcrazy till i blow up.  But the 1/2/3 means no singlespeed, but then no singlespeed means i don't have to think about trying to get shit together for it decide on gear and then i can just heckle the hell out of Jerry and the rest of the one gear gang.
And then there are the crossresults points.

Damn points.

I do not care about them but they are there. Can't but look at them.  Sort of like... ah hell you pick your own colorful analogy.

Good think I have loads of time to ponder said question.  Also I feel rather nice that I haven't needed to register for the big races, my fields are not empty but they aren't closed or full.

That and I have to race the Quad...  too much of a system shock rolling into the grass of the slopes of Catamount w/o a race under the belt.

CXy time is here. Legs? Pfft, we'll see.  Could be a disaster. But damn even the worst shit show results can be tons of fun.

heddwch
G

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